Free Ebook The Devil in the White City: Murder, Magic, and Madness at the Fair That Changed America, by Erik Larson

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The Devil in the White City: Murder, Magic, and Madness at the Fair That Changed America, by Erik Larson

The Devil in the White City: Murder, Magic, and Madness at the Fair That Changed America, by Erik Larson


The Devil in the White City: Murder, Magic, and Madness at the Fair That Changed America, by Erik Larson


Free Ebook The Devil in the White City: Murder, Magic, and Madness at the Fair That Changed America, by Erik Larson

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The Devil in the White City: Murder, Magic, and Madness at the Fair That Changed America, by Erik Larson

Review

“Engrossing . . . exceedingly well documented . . . utterly fascinating.” — Chicago Tribune “A dynamic, enveloping book. . . . Relentlessly fuses history and entertainment to give this nonfiction book the dramatic effect of a novel. . . . It doesn’t hurt that this truth is stranger than fiction.” — The New York Times "So good, you find yourself asking how you could not know this already." — Esquire “Another successful exploration of American history. . . . Larson skillfully balances the grisly details with the far-reaching implications of the World’s Fair.” — USA Today “As absorbing a piece of popular history as one will ever hope to find.” — San Francisco Chronicle “Paints a dazzling picture of the Gilded Age and prefigure the American century to come.” — Entertainment Weekly “A wonderfully unexpected book. . . Larson is a historian . . . with a novelist’s soul.” — Chicago Sun-Times

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From the Inside Flap

Bringing Chicago circa 1893 to vivid life, Erik Larson's spellbinding bestseller intertwines the true tale of two men--the brilliant architect behind the legendary 1893 World's Fair, striving to secure America's place in the world; and the cunning serial killer who used the fair to lure his victims to their death. Combining meticulous research with nail-biting storytelling, Erik Larson has crafted a narrative with all the wonder of newly discovered history and the thrills of the best fiction.

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Product details

Paperback: 447 pages

Publisher: Vintage (February 10, 2004)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 0375725601

ISBN-13: 978-0375725609

Product Dimensions:

5.2 x 0.9 x 8 inches

Shipping Weight: 15.2 ounces (View shipping rates and policies)

Average Customer Review:

4.3 out of 5 stars

5,848 customer reviews

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#578 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

Excellent book! I love history but often times historically accurate books are dry and difficult to get through-- This books presents history in such a way that you still learn while being enthralled with the story! I love that and can't wait to read more of his pieces!

Come for the serial killer, stay for the fair.I will be absolutely honest and admit that I purchased the book because I was interested in the weird story of H.H.Holmes, American con-man, psychopath and serial killer. In fact, I will add to my confession, and shame, by saying that my interest was sparked by watching the episode of Timeless - a series unlikely to be renewed - where our trio of intrepid time-travelers goes back to the 1893 Chicago Columbian Exposition and have a misadventure in the "murder castle." I've never read anything by Erik Larsen before, but I know that he has a good number of books on the history section shelves and I’ve seen this book in passing for years.I listened to this as an audiobook, and my initial reaction was that there was an awful lot about the 1893 World’s Fair, especially the architecture of the World’s Fair, than I was expecting or interested in. Frankly, my initial reaction was that all the detail about the planning of the Fair was getting in the way of the interesting bits about H.H. Holmes.However, about half-way through the book, I found my interest shifting as I was sucked into the world of the Fair and the strangeness of the world right on the cusp of becoming the world we know, with lights and Cracker Jacks and Ferris wheels, but still possessing the instincts and customs of a more genteel and trusting age. I found that people like Frederick Law Olmsted and Daniel Burnham were becoming my heroes.Larsen structures his book as alternating narratives. One narrative follows the twisted path of Holmes; the other follows the life of the fair. There is no doubt that the Holmes’ narrative starts out in the lead because of the natural human interest in evil, and Holmes was evil. Larsen describes Holmes as America’s first serial killer in an age when the language did not have the term “serial killer” to describe Holmes. Holmes was born Herman Webster Mudgett in 1861, studied medicine, married and abandoned his first wife, and, then, took the test for a pharmacy license under the name of H.H. Holmes and made his way to Chicago. In Chicago, he bought a pharmacy from a widow, who he probably conned, married a second wife, deposited the wife and his child in a suburb of Chicago, and then came up with the idea of transforming land he had purchased into a hotel in time for the upcoming Fair.Listening to the Holmes’ arc, two thoughts come to mind: first, he was psychopathic and, second, he didn’t seem to understand how ridiculous his ideas were. For example, after scamming a brother in law, his plan to avoid discovery was to push the brother in law off of a roof. Who today would think such a thing would not be immediately seen for what it was? Likewise, Holmes built a hotel with secret rooms and gas lines to those rooms so that he could gas patrons, kill them and rob them. Women were constantly disappearing from his hotel, leaving their things behind. When the widow he bought his first pharmacy from simply disappeared, Holmes explained that she was visiting California. He courted and wed multiple wives simultaneously. His method for making bodies disappear was to have the bodies rendered into skeletons and then he would sell the skeletons to medical colleges.Today, who could be so naive as to expect that any of this would not be discovered or noticed?And that is partly the point. The era was a moment of transition. In the small towns that most people had lived in prior to the 1890s, everyone was under everyone’s else’s supervision. In Chicago, however, the rules changed. People were anonymous and alone in a crowd. People were easy to lose in a world without phones or extensive police agencies. If someone went to California, it would take more than idle curiosity to locate them. It was a psychopath’s utopia.Also, the casualness of death becomes apparent in Larsen’s book. For example, Burnham’s partner plunges into the October night and dies of pneumonia within a week. Larsen also describes how the sister of one of Holmes’ victims suddenly took sick and died within a week. She was probably poisoned, but in that age it was not hard to believe that a healthy woman in her twenties could die of a sickness so quickly. I was working on a train accident fatality lawsuit during the time I listened to this book, so this passage had some significance to me:// Anonymous death came early and often. Each of the thousand trains that entered and left the city did so at grade level. You could step from a curb and be killed by the Chicago Limited. Every day on average two people were destroyed at the city’s rail crossings. Their injuries were grotesque. Pedestrians retrieved severed heads. There were other hazards. Streetcars fell from drawbridges. Horses bolted and dragged carriages into crowds. Fires took a dozen lives a day. In describing the fire dead, the term the newspapers most liked to use was “roasted.”//In Fresno County where I live, which is a mostly rural county with a large urban population, there are only two unprotected crossings – without signals – in the entire county. The three people killed in this one accident was probably higher than the annual average for the last fifty years. Violent death was simply more common in the past.On the other hand, Larsen presents the “White City” of the Fair as the world that was dawning. The Fair brought millions of visitors to a location with lights and cultural diversity and sanitation and police protection. The idea that the architects are the heroes of the book seems strange since architects rarely play the role of hero, but Larsen manages to invest tension throughout the story arc about the Fair. Thus, there is tension in whether the architects will get the Fair built in time, and then there is tension about whether the Fair will turn a profit in the face of the economic depression gripping the country. There is also the heroism of George Washington Gale Ferris and his eccentric idea of building a huge wheel that would carry “Pullman Car-sized” boxes for passengers, although the most heroic act of the book, I thought, was the willingness of Mrs. Ferris to ride the thing on its maiden voyage as a rain of extra bolts cascaded down from the structure.I came to know and develop a liking for Frederick Law Olmsted, who designed New York’s Central Park. Burnham is forgotten today but contributed to many American cities.My first term paper in history was one I wrote as a Junior in High School about Eugene V. Debbs and the Pullman Strike of 1894, so it was something of a home-coming for me to read about the events that were occurring just before that strike, and to think that Debs and Darrow probably visited the Fair, maybe they ran across Holmes and Burnham. It occurs to me now that the Pullman Strike of 1894 was in 1894 because the closing of the Fair in 1893 exacerbated the economic crisis. Larsen writes:// Ten thousand construction workers also left the fair’s employ and returned to a world without jobs, already crowded with unemployed men. Once the fair closed, many thousands more would join them on Chicago’s streets. The threat of violence was as palpable as the deepening cold of autumn. Mayor Harrison was sympathetic and did what he could. He hired thousands of men to clean streets and ordered police stations opened at night for men seeking a place to sleep. Chicago’s Commercial and Financial Chronicle reported, “Never before has there been such a sudden and striking cessation of industrial activity.” Pig iron production fell by half, and new rail construction shrank almost to nothing. Demand for railcars to carry visitors to the exposition had spared the Pullman Works, but by the end of the fair George Pullman too began cutting wages and workers. He did not, however, reduce the rents in his company town. The White City had drawn men and protected them; the Black City now welcomed them back, on the eve of winter, with filth, starvation, and violence.//Holmes’ story closes out with Holmes’ finally getting tripped up in an insurance swindle and an intrepid Pinkerton detective following the clues to prove that Holmes was a child-killer among his other sins. In that way, Holmes’ story arc concludes as a true crime story about a true crime story.Although I enjoyed and learned from this book, I would have to pick a nit with the “fictionalization” of some of the narrative. Larsen tells us that everything in his book is supported by documentary evidence, but he also acknowledges that he has made reasonable inferences about what happened at times. I think his inferences are reasonable, and I credit him for acknowledging what he has done, but I think that there are times when he offers his insights into what various people were thinking or feeling that he has gone too far and stepped outside of history proper into fiction. Obviously, this book is intended for the mass market and must keep reader interest. Also, we are a long way into non-fiction novels at this point, but there are moments when I as a history reader was woken up by Larsen describing what a character felt (when I would probably never have objected to the same information being couched as something the person “might have thought,” so if you interpolate those words, the book is in the genre of history.)In sum, don’t be confused; this is not a true crime story. It is a sociological history/novel about a particular time in American history. Your interest in this book will vary depending on whether you are buying it as “true crime” or as history.

I probably should have read the description a little more closely. I thought this book would cover the World's Fair and H.H. Holmes in equal amounts. It does not. I will admit, the author thoroughly researched both topics, but it was clear to me his focus was on the architecture of the World's Fair. He is very detailed, but sometime it was almost too much detail. I am admittedly more interested in H.H. Holmes than architecture so that has something to do with my review.If you are reading this because you want to hear about H.H. Holmes, you may want to read a different book. However, if you are open to learning about the World's Fair, architecture, or Chicago history, this is worth the read.

I thought that as far as it goes this was a good book on the Chicago Worlds Fair and an ok book on H.H. Holmes. I had not idea that so much effort had gone into the worlds fair and I thought that the author did an excellent job capturing the spirit and excitement of the times as well as the hard work and reputations put on the line to make it success. I would say that for anyone interested in the history of Chicago or the fair this is a must read book. If, however, you are wanting to learn much on the crimes committed H.H. Holmes then you will probable be disappointed. I realize that much of this is due to the fact that there is not a plethora of source material out there on Holmes and the author does make a strong case that the attention given to the Fair and the amount of out of towners and other people coming into town made it easier for him to commit his crimes by giving him a steady source of victims but it seems like the whole Holmes angle was a kinda tacked on to give the book just a little more sensationalism in order to sell copies. It would be as if I wrote a book about the post industrial decline of the Milwaukee metro area in the early 90's and threw in some accounts of the Jeffrey Dhalmer murders to increase sales. What make it especially disappointing about this book is that it was totally unnecessary. The main story about the Fair and all of the scandal and intrigue that went into it was interesting enough without what felt like a kinda tacked on murder story. This book either need to be a little shorter (without the murder story) or a little longer ( with more of the murder story) by trying to split the difference it distracted from one story and did not do justice to the other.

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Free Ebook Causal Inference for Statistics, Social, and Biomedical Sciences: An Introduction

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Causal Inference for Statistics, Social, and Biomedical Sciences: An Introduction

Causal Inference for Statistics, Social, and Biomedical Sciences: An Introduction


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Causal Inference for Statistics, Social, and Biomedical Sciences: An Introduction

Review

"This book offers a definitive treatment of causality using the potential outcomes approach. Both theoreticians and applied researchers will find this an indispensable volume for guidance and reference." Hal Varian, Chief Economist, Google, and Emeritus Professor, University of California, Berkeley"By putting the potential outcome framework at the center of our understanding of causality, Imbens and Rubin have ushered in a fundamental transformation of empirical work in economics. This book, at once transparent and deep, will be both a fantastic introduction to fundamental principles and a practical resource for students and practitioners. It will be required readings for any class I teach." Esther Duflo, Massachusetts Institute of Technology"Causal Inference sets a high new standard for discussions of the theoretical and practical issues in the design of studies for assessing the effects of causes - from an array of methods for using covariates in real studies to dealing with many subtle aspects of non-compliance with assigned treatments. The book includes many examples using real data that arose from the authors' extensive research portfolios. These examples help to clarify and explain many important concepts and practical issues. It is a book that both methodologists and practitioners from many fields will find both illuminating and suggestive of further research. It is a professional tour de force, and a welcomed addition to the growing (and often confusing) literature on causation in artificial intelligence, philosophy, mathematics and statistics." Paul W. Holland, Emeritus, Educational Testing Service"A comprehensive and remarkably clear overview of randomized experiments and observational designs with as-good-as-random assignment that is sure to become the standard reference in the field." David Card, Class of 1950 Professor of Economics, University of California, Berkeley"This book will be the "Bible" for anyone interested in the statistical approach to causal inference associated with Donald Rubin and his colleagues, including Guido Imbens. Together, they have systematized the early insights of Fisher and Neyman and have then vastly developed and transformed them. In the process they have created a theory of practical experimentation whose internal consistency is mind-boggling, as is its sensitivity to assumptions and its elaboration of the key 'potential outcomes' framework. The authors' exposition of random assignment experiments has breadth and clarity of coverage, as do their chapters on observational studies that can be readily conceptualized within an experimental framework. Never have experimental principles been better warranted intellectually or better translated into statistical practice. The book is a "must read" for anyone claiming methodological competence in all sciences that rely on experimentation." Thomas D. Cook, Joan and Sarepta Harrison Chair of Ethics and Justice, Northwestern University, Illinois"In this wonderful and important book, Imbens and Rubin give a lucid account of the potential outcomes perspective on causality. This perspective sensibly treats all causal questions as questions about a hidden variable, indeed the ultimate hidden variable, "What would have happened if things were different?" They make this perspective mathematically precise, show when and to what degree it succeeds, and discuss how to apply it to both experimental and observational data. This book is a must-read for natural scientists, social scientists and all other practitioners who seek new hypotheses and new truths in their complex data." David Blei, Columbia University"This thorough and comprehensive book uses the "potential outcomes" approach to connect the breadth of theory of causal inference to the real-world analyses that are the foundation of evidence-based decision making in medicine, public policy and many other fields. Imbens and Rubin provide unprecedented guidance for designing research on causal relationships, and for interpreting the results of that research appropriately." Mark McClellan, Director of the Health Care Innovation and Value Initiative, Brookings Institution, Washington DC"This book will revolutionize how applied statistics is taught in statistics and the social and biomedical sciences. The authors present a unified vision of causal inference that covers both experimental and observational data. They do a masterful job of communicating some of the deepest, and oldest, issues in statistics to readers with disparate backgrounds. They closely connect theoretical concepts with applied concerns, and they honestly and clearly discuss the identifying assumptions of the methods presented. Too many books on statistical methods present a menagerie of disconnected methods and pay little attention to the scientific plausibility of the assumptions that are made for mathematical convenience, instead of for verisimilitude. This book is different. It will be widely read, and it will change the way statistics is practiced." Jasjeet S. Sekhon, Robson Professor of Political Science and Statistics, University of California, Berkeley"Clarity of thinking about causality is of central importance in financial decision making. Imbens and Rubin provide a rigorous foundation allowing practitioners to learn from the pioneers in the field." Stephen Blyth, Managing Director, Head of Public Markets, Harvard Management Company"A masterful account of the potential outcomes approach to causal inference from observational studies that Rubin has been developing since he pioneered it fourty years ago." Adrian Raftery, Blumstein-Jordan Professor of Statistics and Sociology, University of Washington

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Book Description

Many applied research questions are fundamentally questions of causality: Is a new drug effective? Does a training program affect someone's chances of finding a job? What is the effect of a new regulation on economic activity? In this ground-breaking text, two world-renowned experts present statistical methods for studying such questions.

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Product details

Hardcover: 644 pages

Publisher: Cambridge University Press; 1 edition (April 6, 2015)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 0521885884

ISBN-13: 978-0521885881

Product Dimensions:

7.3 x 1.3 x 10.3 inches

Shipping Weight: 2.9 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)

Average Customer Review:

3.8 out of 5 stars

13 customer reviews

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#238,182 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

Some people are of the opinion that statistics should replace calculus in high school/college curricula because of the importance of analytics in the modern business world. I think a similar argument could be made about replacing some of the more esoteric parts of graduate statistics/econometrics with causal inference theory. If that opinion is correct, this would be an excellent reference text.Causal inference theory is important because the regression techniques now taught to young social scientists as methods of determining cause and effect assume endogeneity when the data often don't support such an assumption. They also impose a linear model on the data that can be similarly inappropriate. The non-parametric techniques discussed by Rubin and Imbens, while having their own assumptions, are applicable to a wider range of problems.Rubin and Imbens summarize the voluminous literature on propensity score and related causal inference techniques in a manner that is accessible to someone with a solid background in statistics (both frequentist and Bayesian). I read the book cover to cover and, despite already knowing something about Propensity Score techniques, learned a great deal.They begin with randomized experiments then explain how the mathematical models developed for such methods are also applicable to observational studies. They then discuss various methods of using the Propensity Score along with tests of the plausibility of such models and bias limits when some of the assumptions in these models are relaxed.One complaint I have is that the different types of exact matching are barely discussed. Considering the growing importance of techniques like Coarsened Exact Matching, this seems like a significant oversight. In addition, the book contains no exercises making it difficult to use as a textbook without some supplementary material.All in all, though, this work is a must have for those engaged in Causal Inference either academically or in the business world. Even those not making active use of these techniques might find applications to their empirical work once they understand how to properly use Propensity Score analysis.

This book does not have a very rigorous approach to causation. The applied parts are lacking as well -- they apply the suggested models in “empirical examples” but that's literally it - they just run the models and read the numbers, no insightful interpretation of anything, no justification and so on. If you want to read something informal but applied, go to Mostly Harmless Econometrics by Angrist and Pischke. If you want to read something rigorous, go to Causality by Judea Pearl.

I really love it.

The only shortcoming is that font is small. If the margin is reduced to give more space to the context, that would be perfect!

A great book. It has careful and easy (to follow) arguments that help to understand interestign situations.

Although this might be a good book to study causal inference since there are not many choices for now, it was tediously long in many topics. I wish it were written in a more concise way.

Recommended strongly by Prof. Strauss, really the best!

Imbens & Rubin are masters.

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